Sypsa V, Hatzakis A.
Modelling of viral dynamics in hepatitis B and hepatitis C clinical trials. Stat MedStat MedStat Med. 2008;27:6505-21.
AbstractIn the recent years, studies of hepatitis B (HBV) and hepatitis C virus (HCV) dynamics have drawn great attention as they provide insight into the process of virus elimination/production and of infected cells decay during antiviral treatment. Estimates of viral dynamic parameters may be used to determine the lifetime of HCV/HBV virions and of infected cells, to estimate how long patients need to be treated and to evaluate antiviral therapies. The implementation of viral dynamics studies is difficult because they involve an intensive blood-sampling schedule and subsequent viral load quantification. In the majority of these studies, a model proposed by Neumann et al. (Science 1998; 282:103-107) is used under various assumptions, such as ignoring the delay in initial viral load decay, assuming time-constant treatment efficacy in reducing virion production and/or complete blocking of new infections, etc. However, only recently the effect of some of these assumptions on the estimated parameters has been evaluated. In this paper we provide a detailed review of the model, its underlying assumptions as well as the assumptions usually made by researchers during the design and analysis of viral dynamics studies. Then, we investigate the effect of these assumptions on the estimated parameters using simulations and draw useful conclusions concerning the analysis of these studies. Real data examples from a clinical trial on hepatitis B are provided as illustrations.
Nikolaou VA, Sypsa V, Stefanaki I, Gogas H, Papadopoulos O, Polydorou D, Plaka M, Tsoutsos D, Dimou A, Mourtzoukou E, et al. Risk associations of melanoma in a Southern European population: results of a case/control study. Cancer Causes ControlCancer Causes ControlCancer Causes Control. 2008;19:671-9.
AbstractOBJECTIVES: Limited data exist about the risk factors of melanoma in the Greek population. We investigated the association of melanoma with phenotypic and solar indices in this darker skin population residing in an environment of high ambient ultraviolet radiation. METHODS: Our study included 200 sporadic melanoma cases and 200 age-, sex-matched control subjects. Information on history of sun exposure patterns and cutaneous reaction to sunlight was obtained and a clinical evaluation of pigmentary traits, pigmented lesions, and actinic keratoses was performed. RESULTS: In the multivariate analysis, fair skin (OR: 4.63, for fair skin versus light brown, 95% CI: 1.54-13.92), intermittent sun exposure during childhood (OR: 3.33, >2 weeks/year of sun exposure versus < or =2 weeks/year 95% CI: 1.37-8.09), and outdoor leisure activities (OR: 2.74, 95% CI: 1.28-5.89), but not skin phototype or sunburns, were positively related to the risk of melanoma. In addition to an elevated count of common melanocytic nevi (OR: 6.27, > or =10 nevi versus no nevi, 95% CI: 1.65-23.76) and the presence of clinically atypical nevi (OR: 2.84, 95% CI: 1.16-6.98), solar lentigenes were an independent risk factor of melanoma (OR: 4.33, 95% CI: 1.67-11.22). CONCLUSIONS: Intermittent sun exposure of moderate intensity during childhood/adolescence and outdoor leisural activities, in conjunction with a more resistant skin phenotype to acute sunburns and a strong association with nevi and solar lentigenes was a prominent determinant of melanoma risk in our population.