Brief communication: "Models for the exceedances of high thresholds over the precipitation daily totals in Athens, Greece"

Citation:

Tzavelas, G., Paliatsos, A.G. & Nastos, P.T. Brief communication: "Models for the exceedances of high thresholds over the precipitation daily totals in Athens, Greece". Natural Hazards and Earth System Science 10, 105 - 108 (2010). Copy at http://www.tinyurl.com/y454x4k4

Abstract:

Extreme precipitation events have significant environmental consequences because they may cause considerable damages to urban as well as rural areas. The aim of this work is to construct a threshold model which will describe the exceedances over a threshold for the daily precipitation totals over Athens, Greece. The data used are daily precipitation totals recorded at the National Observatory of Athens, for a 115-year period (1891-2005). The generalized Pareto distribution is considered as the proper distribution for the study of the exceedances. The threshold of u=15.8 mm (10% upper limit) is used for the construction of the optimal return level function. © Author(s) 2010.

Notes:

Cited By :5Export Date: 2 November 2015Correspondence Address: Nastos, P. T.; Laboratory of Climatology and Atmospheric Environment, Department of Geology and Geoenvironment, University of Athens, Athens, Greece; email: nastos@geol.uoa.grReferences: Amanatidis, G.T., Paliatsos, A.G., Repapis, C.C., Bartzis, J.C., Decreasing precipitation trend at Marathon area (1993) Greece, Int. J. Climatol., 13, pp. 191-201;Coles, S., (2001) An Introduction to Statistical Modeling of Extreme Values, , Springer Verlag, New York; Davison, A.C., Smith, R.L., Models for exceedances over high thresholds (with discussion) (1990) J. Roy. Stat. Soc. B. Met., 52, pp. 393-442; Feidas, H., Noulopoulou, Ch., Makrogiannis, T., Bora-Senta, E., Trend analysis of precipitation time series in Greece and their relationship with circulation using surface and satellite data: 1955-2001 (2007) Theoretical and Applied Climatology, 87 (1-4), pp. 155-177. , DOI 10.1007/s00704-006-0200-5; Gnedenko, B.V., Sur la distribution limite du terme maximum d'un serie aleatoire (1943) Ann. Math., 44, pp. 423-453. , French; Gumbel, E.J., (1958) Statistics of Extremes, , Columbia University Press, New York; Houssos, E.E., Bartzokas, A., Extreme precipitation events in NW Greece, Adv (2006) Geosci., 7, pp. 91-96. , http://www.adv-geosci.net/7/91/2006/; (2001) Third IPCC Scientific Assessment Report, Working Group 1: "The Scientific Basis", , IPCC: Model Evaluation, Chapter 8, in; (2007) Fourth IPCC Assessment Report, Contribution of Working Group 1: "The Physical Science Basis", , IPCC: Regional Climate Projections, Chapter 11, In; Katsoulis, B.D., Kambetzidis, H.D., Analysis of the long-term precipitation series at Athens, Greece (1989) Climatic Change, 14 (3), pp. 263-290; Koukis, G.C., Koutsoyiannis, D., Greece (1997) Geomorphological Hazards of Europe, pp. 215-241. , edited by: C.&C. Embleton, Elsevier, Amsterdam; Metaxas, D.A., Philandras, C.M., Nastos, P.T., Repapis, C.C., Variability of precipitation pattern in Greece during the year (1999) Fresen Environ. Bull., 8, pp. 1-6; Nastos, P.T., Zerefos, C.S., On extreme daily precipitation totals at Athens, Greece (2007) Advances in Geosciences, 10, pp. 59-66; Nastos, P.T., Zerefos, C.S., Decadal changes in extreme daily precipitation in Greece (2008) Adv. Geosci., 16, pp. 55-62. , http://www.adv-geosci.net/16/55/2008/; Nicolaidou, M., Hadjichristou, E., (1995) Recording and Assessment of Flood Damages in Greece and Cyprus, , Diploma thesis, National Technical University, Athens, in Greek; Paliatsos, A.G., Nastos, P.Th., Tzavelas, G., Panagiotakos, D.B., Characteristics of precipitation in the Athens area, Greece (2005) Fresenius Environmental Bulletin, 14 (5), pp. 422-428; Pawlowsky-Glahn, V., Tolosana-Delgado, R., Egozcue, J.J., Scale effect in hazard assessment - Application to daily rainfall (2005) Advances in Geosciences, 2, pp. 117-121; Pickands, J., Statistical inference using extreme order statistics (1975) Ann. Stat., 3, pp. 119-131; Pnevmatikos, J.D., Katsoulis, B.D., The changing rainfall regime in Greece and its impact on climatological means (2006) Meteorol. Appl., 13, pp. 331-345; Repapis, C.C., Temporal fluctuations of precipitation in Greece (1986) Riv. Meteorol. Aeronau., 46 (1-2), pp. 19-25

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