Abstract:
In early March 2021, three shallow earthquakes, two mainshocks with M6.3 and M6.0 and one major aftershock with M5.6 impacted both the mountainous Damasi-Tyrnavos region (northern Thessaly, Greece) and the adjacent Plio-Quaternary basin. Each major event was followed by rich aftershock activity recorded by local and regional seismographs and accelerographs. Herein, we present a comprehensive analysis of the seismic sequence, from its foreshock activity starting on 28 February, 2021 and for a period of two months using new high-resolution catalogues of relocated earthquakes and hundreds of focal mechanisms. The results indicate that the aftershocks form a zone that spans ~50 km NW-SE, while focal depths range between 5 and 15 km. More than 400 focal mechanisms, computed for events with M≥ 2.5, mainly exhibit normal faulting in a NW-SE direction, while WNW-ESE to E-W normal faulting is also evidenced, in particular after the occurrence of the last major event on 12 March. The stress-field was reconstructed on a local and broader scale by inverting focal mechanism data, revealing a rotation of the σ3 axis trend from NNE-SSW, in the Damasi-broader region, to NW-SE northwards, to the region of Kozani-Grevena that hosted an Mw = 6.6 shallow mainshock in 1995. Subcrustal seismicity, present beneath those areas, implies that large-scale tectonics and plate dynamics are likely involved in the deformation of the upper crust. Coulomb stress transfer after the 3 major events of the 2021 Damasi-Tyrnavos sequence reveals that stress-loaded areas include those where most aftershocks were triggered. The analysis provides implications to the seismic hazard of the activated area, as a major NW-SE active normal fault close to Larissa city became stress-loaded, constituting a possible candidate source for significant future earthquakes.
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